Publications

Foundational papers

Barfuss, W., Donges, J. F., Vasconcelos, V. V., Kurths, J., & Levin, S. A. (2020): Caring for the future can turn tragedy into comedy for long-term collective action under risk of collapse. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 117(23), 12915-12922. https://www.pnas.org/content/117/23/12915
The paper shows how a longer view helps create space for collective action.

Krueger EH, Borchardt D, Jawitz JW, Rao PSC (2020): Balancing security, resilience, and sustainability of urban water supply systems in a desirable operating space. Environ Res Lett 15(3):035007. https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ab6c2d
This paper proposes a framework for how to conceptually and empirically link resource security for all, resilience to shocks and disturbances, and environmental and inter-generational sustainability through the lens of urban water supply.

Liu et al. (2013): Socioeconomic and environmental interactions between distant systems: Framing sustainability in a telecoupled world. https://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol18/iss2/art26/
The foundational paper for the framework telecoupling.

Liu (2017): Socioeconomic and environmental interactions within individual systems and between adjacent and distant systems: Integration across a metacoupled world. https://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol22/iss4/art29/
Expanding the scope of telecoupling to include local and regional interactions, this is the foundational paper for the integrated framework of metacoupling.


Global food systems

Carlson, A.K., Rubenstein, D.I., and Levin, S.A. (2020): Linking multiscalar fisheries using metacoupling models. https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2020.00614/full
This paper uses the metacoupling framework to explore food supply and food security provided by the world’s marine fisheries over 65 years (1950-2014) by developing metacoupling models of fisheries catches and assessing cross-scalar interactions among fisheries types (artisanal, subsistence, industrial, recreational).

Carlson, A.K., Taylor, W.W., Rubenstein, D.I., Levin, S.A., and Liu, J. (2020): Global marine fishing across space and time. https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/12/11/4714
This paper uses the metacoupling framework to quantify global marine fisheries catches over 65 years (1950-2014) and discuss implications for food supply and food security.

Carlson, A.K., Taylor, W.W., Liu, J., and Orlic, I. (2018): Peruvian anchoveta as a telecoupled fisheries system. https://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol23/iss1/art35/
The first application of the telecoupling framework to fisheries, this paper explores one of the world’s largest and most important fisheries for food supply and security (Peruvian anchoveta) through the lens of the distant social-ecological interactions that influence fish harvest and trade.


Global systemic risk & resilience

Rocha, Juan C, Garry Peterson, Orjan Bodin, and Simon Levin (2018): Cascading Regime Shifts Within and Across Scales. Science 362 (6421). American Association for the Advancement of Science: 1379–83. doi:10.1126/science.aat7850.
This paper identifies plausible mechanisms that can connect critical transitions across ecosystems.

Searchinger, Timothy D., Stefan Wirsenius, Tim Beringer, and Patrice Dumas. 2018. ‘Assessing the Efficiency of Changes in Land Use for Mitigating Climate Change’. Nature 564 (7735): 249–53. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0757-z.

Steffen, W., Rockström, J., Richardson, K., Lenton, T. M., Folke, C., Liverman, D., … & Donges, J. F., …, Winkelmann, R., Schellnhuber, H.J. (2018). Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 115(33), 8252-8259. doi:10.1073/pnas.1810141115.
This paper identifies systemic risk factors that can undermine Earth system resilience in the Anthropocene, including positive feedback mechanisms and cascading tipping dynamics.